Autor Tópico: Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo  (Lida 24618 vezes)

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Offline Gaúcho

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #276 Online: 26 de Dezembro de 2015, 18:15:19 »
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Recessão brasileira pode comprometer economia por dez anos
No período entre 2011 e 2020 o Brasil avançará quase nada. Por que ficamos parados?

[...]As projeções, mesmo as mais otimistas, indicam que o brasileiro chegará a 2020 mais pobre do que estava em 2011.[...]

http://epoca.globo.com/ideias/noticia/2015/12/recessao-brasileira-pode-comprometer-economia-por-dez-anos.html

Acho que isso resume o tópico.
"— A democracia em uma sociedade livre exige que os governados saibam o que fazem os governantes, mesmo quando estes buscam agir protegidos pelas sombras." Sérgio Moro

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #277 Online: 28 de Dezembro de 2015, 12:18:24 »
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Pela 15ª semana seguida, mercado sobe estimativa de inflação de 2015

A expectativa dos economistas é de que o Índice de Preços ao Consumidor Amplo (IPCA), a inflação oficial, feche este ano em 10,72%. Na semana anterior, a taxa esperada era de 10,70%. Se confirmada a previsão, representará o maior índice em 13 anos, ou seja, desde 2002 – quando ficou em 12,53%

Produto Interno Bruto
Para o PIB deste ano, o mercado financeiro manteve a estimativa de uma contração de 3,7%. Se confirmado, será o pior resultado em 25 anos, ou seja, desde 1990 – quando foi registrada uma queda de 4,35%.

"— A democracia em uma sociedade livre exige que os governados saibam o que fazem os governantes, mesmo quando estes buscam agir protegidos pelas sombras." Sérgio Moro

Offline Arcanjo Lúcifer

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #278 Online: 28 de Dezembro de 2015, 19:30:30 »
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Pela 15ª semana seguida, mercado sobe estimativa de inflação de 2015

A expectativa dos economistas é de que o Índice de Preços ao Consumidor Amplo (IPCA), a inflação oficial, feche este ano em 10,72%. Na semana anterior, a taxa esperada era de 10,70%. Se confirmada a previsão, representará o maior índice em 13 anos, ou seja, desde 2002 – quando ficou em 12,53%

Produto Interno Bruto
Para o PIB deste ano, o mercado financeiro manteve a estimativa de uma contração de 3,7%. Se confirmado, será o pior resultado em 25 anos, ou seja, desde 1990 – quando foi registrada uma queda de 4,35%.



Cara, hoje noticiaram sobre o rombo no orçamento da União que bate os 57 bilhões e foi três vezes maior que o do ano passado.

Três vezes maior que o do ano passado, ou seja, em 2016 a coisa vai ficar muito maior.

Não tem uma empresa estatal, um banco estatal, um órgão público que não fechou o ano com um rombo no orçamento e devendo dinheiro, e como todos nós sabemos, o Dilmão vai "consertar" isso com mais alguma manobra da contabilidade criativa do PT que transforma prejuízo e roubo em "investimentos".

Feliz 2016 para quem puder abandonar esse lixo de país.




Offline Lorentz

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #279 Online: 28 de Dezembro de 2015, 21:06:05 »
E eu que ficava pensando que o pior iria passar, que o ano viraria com uma economia menos pior mesmo com a Dilma. Mas a desgraça só vai aumentando.
"Amy, technology isn't intrinsically good or bad. It's all in how you use it, like the death ray." - Professor Hubert J. Farnsworth

Offline MarceliNNNN

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #280 Online: 28 de Dezembro de 2015, 23:40:54 »
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Pela 15ª semana seguida, mercado sobe estimativa de inflação de 2015

A expectativa dos economistas é de que o Índice de Preços ao Consumidor Amplo (IPCA), a inflação oficial, feche este ano em 10,72%. Na semana anterior, a taxa esperada era de 10,70%. Se confirmada a previsão, representará o maior índice em 13 anos, ou seja, desde 2002 – quando ficou em 12,53%

Produto Interno Bruto
Para o PIB deste ano, o mercado financeiro manteve a estimativa de uma contração de 3,7%. Se confirmado, será o pior resultado em 25 anos, ou seja, desde 1990 – quando foi registrada uma queda de 4,35%.



Cara, hoje noticiaram sobre o rombo no orçamento da União que bate os 57 bilhões e foi três vezes maior que o do ano passado.

Três vezes maior que o do ano passado, ou seja, em 2016 a coisa vai ficar muito maior.

Não tem uma empresa estatal, um banco estatal, um órgão público que não fechou o ano com um rombo no orçamento e devendo dinheiro, e como todos nós sabemos, o Dilmão vai "consertar" isso com mais alguma manobra da contabilidade criativa do PT que transforma prejuízo e roubo em "investimentos".

Feliz 2016 para quem puder abandonar esse lixo de país.
E tem gente que ainda não é a favor de privatizações...

Offline Arcanjo Lúcifer

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #281 Online: 29 de Dezembro de 2015, 08:36:10 »

E tem gente que ainda não é a favor de privatizações...

Sim, sindicalistas e "artistas" como o Chico Merda que recebeu uma grana preta ou aquela que recebeu R$ 600.000,00 para divulgar as próprias músicas em um blog que qualquer um faz de graça,"jornalistas" chapa branca, funcionários de estatais e participantes dos esquemas, vagabundos do MST e CUT, familiares e amigos do Lulla...

Tudo gente boa.

Offline Peter Joseph

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #282 Online: 29 de Dezembro de 2015, 10:29:00 »
E eu que ficava pensando que o pior iria passar, que o ano viraria com uma economia menos pior mesmo com a Dilma. Mas a desgraça só vai aumentando.

Eu disse.
"Não é sinal de saúde estar bem adaptado a uma sociedade doente." - Krishnamurti

"O progresso é a concretização de Utopias." – Oscar Wilde
O Minhocário - https://ominhocario.wordpress.com/

Offline Lorentz

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #283 Online: 29 de Dezembro de 2015, 12:07:08 »
E eu que ficava pensando que o pior iria passar, que o ano viraria com uma economia menos pior mesmo com a Dilma. Mas a desgraça só vai aumentando.

Eu disse.

Não está piorando pelos motivos que você defende, até porque TODOS os nossos vizinhos tiveram um crescimento econômico melhor que o nosso (menos aquele país).
"Amy, technology isn't intrinsically good or bad. It's all in how you use it, like the death ray." - Professor Hubert J. Farnsworth

Offline Lorentz

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #284 Online: 29 de Dezembro de 2015, 22:30:58 »
http://www.oantagonista.com/posts/energia-para-chegar-a-2018

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Energia para chegar a 2018

Economia 29.12.15 18:01
Uma portaria do Ministério de Minas e Energia publicada hoje revela que o Brasil terá de importar energia elétrica do Uruguai até 2018.

A importação será feita pela Eletrobras por "necessidade". Não há detalhes do custo dessa energia e qual será o repasse para o consumidor.

A crise só não é maior porque o Brasil está em recessão e com a indústria paralisada.
"Amy, technology isn't intrinsically good or bad. It's all in how you use it, like the death ray." - Professor Hubert J. Farnsworth

Offline Arcanjo Lúcifer

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #285 Online: 29 de Dezembro de 2015, 23:07:58 »
http://www.oantagonista.com/posts/energia-para-chegar-a-2018

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Energia para chegar a 2018

Economia 29.12.15 18:01
Uma portaria do Ministério de Minas e Energia publicada hoje revela que o Brasil terá de importar energia elétrica do Uruguai até 2018.

A importação será feita pela Eletrobras por "necessidade". Não há detalhes do custo dessa energia e qual será o repasse para o consumidor.

A crise só não é maior porque o Brasil está em recessão e com a indústria paralisada.

Uns dias atrás noticiaram que Itaipu estava despejando o excesso de água, ou seja, tem produção mas não tem como levar até o ponto de consumo.

Mais ou menos como naqueles parques eólicos do amigo do Lulla que produziam energia para ser consumida em lugar algum por falta de rede elétrica.


Offline Gaúcho

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #286 Online: 30 de Dezembro de 2015, 16:01:54 »
Somos capa de revista

"— A democracia em uma sociedade livre exige que os governados saibam o que fazem os governantes, mesmo quando estes buscam agir protegidos pelas sombras." Sérgio Moro

Offline Gaúcho

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #287 Online: 30 de Dezembro de 2015, 16:30:01 »
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Irredeemable?
A former star of the emerging world faces a lost decade



THE longest recession in a century; the biggest bribery scandal in history; the most unpopular leader in living memory. These are not the sort of records Brazil was hoping to set in 2016, the year in which Rio de Janeiro hosts South America’s first-ever Olympic games. When the games were awarded to Brazil in 2009 Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, then president and in his pomp, pointed proudly to the ease with which a booming Brazil had weathered the global financial crisis. Now Lula’s handpicked successor, Dilma Rousseff, who began her second term in January 2015, presides over an unprecedented roster of calamities.

By the end of 2016 Brazil’s economy may be 8% smaller than it was in the first quarter of 2014, when it last saw growth; GDP per person could be down by a fifth since its peak in 2010, which is not as bad as the situation in Greece, but not far off. Two ratings agencies have demoted Brazilian debt to junk status. Joaquim Levy, who was appointed as finance minister last January with a mandate to cut the deficit, quit in December. Any country where it is hard to tell the difference between the inflation rate—which has edged into double digits—and the president’s approval rating—currently 12%, having dipped into single figures—has serious problems.

Ms Rousseff’s political woes are as crippling as her economic ones. Thirty-two sitting members of Congress, mostly from the coalition led by her left-wing Workers’ Party (PT), are under investigation for accepting billions of dollars in bribes in exchange for padded contracts with the state-controlled oil-and-gas company, Petrobras. On December 15th the police raided several offices of the Party of the Brazilian Democratic Movement (PMDB), a partner in Ms Rousseff’s coalition led by the vice-president, Michel Temer.

Brazil’s electoral tribunal is investigating whether to annul Ms Rousseff’s re-election in 2014 over dodgy campaign donations. In December members of Congress began debating her impeachment. The proceedings were launched by the speaker of the lower house, Eduardo Cunha (who though part of the PMDB considers himself in opposition) on the grounds that Ms Rousseff tampered with public accounts to hide the true size of the budgetary hole. Some see the impeachment as a way to divert attention from Mr Cunha’s own problems; Brazil’s chief prosecutor wants him stripped of his privileged position so that his role in the Petrobras affair can be investigated more freely. Mr Cunha denies any wrongdoing.



Brazil is no stranger to crises. Following the end of two decades of military rule in 1985, the first directly elected president, Fernando Collor, was impeached in 1992. After a “lost decade” of stagnation and hyperinflation ended in the mid-1990s the economy was knocked sideways by the emerging-markets turmoil of 1997-98. In the mid-2000s politics was beset by the scandal of a bribes-for-votes scheme known as the mensalão (“big monthly”, for the size and schedule of the payments), which eventually saw Lula’s chief of staff jailed in 2013.

Yet rarely, if ever, have shocks both external and domestic, political and economic, conspired as they do today. During the original lost decade global conditions were relatively benign; in the crisis of the late 1990s the tough measures to quell inflation and revive growth taken after Mr Collor’s departure stood Brazil in moderately good stead; when scandal rocked the 2000s commodity markets were booming.

A sad convergence
Now prices of Brazilian commodities such as oil, iron ore and soya have slumped: a Brazilian commodities index compiled by Credit Suisse, a bank, has fallen by 41% since its peak in 2011. The commodities bust has hit economies around the world, but Brazil has fared particularly badly, with its structural weaknesses—poor productivity and unaffordable, misdirected public spending—exacerbating the damage. Regardless of what she may or may not have done with respect to the impeachment charge, Ms Rousseff’s cardinal sin is her failure to have confronted these problems in her previous term, when she had some political room for manoeuvre. Instead, that term was marked by loose fiscal and monetary policies, incessant microeconomic meddling and fickle policymaking that bloated the budget, stoked inflation and sapped confidence.

Poor though her record has been, some of these problems have deeper roots in what is in some ways a great achievement: the federal constitution of 1988, which enshrined the transition from military to democratic rule. This 70,000-word doorstop of a document crams in as many social, political and economic rights as its drafters could dream up, some of them highly specific: a 44-hour working week; a retirement age of 65 for men and 60 for women. The “purchasing power” of benefits “shall be preserved”, it proclaims, creating a powerful ratchet on public spending.

Since the constitution’s enactment, federal outlays have nearly doubled to 18% of GDP; total public spending is over 40%. Some 90% of the federal budget is ring-fenced either by the constitution or by legislation. Constitutionally protected pensions alone now swallow 11.6% of GDP, a higher proportion than in Japan, whose citizens are a great deal older. By 2014 the government was running a primary deficit (ie, before interest payments) of 32.5 billion reais ($13.9 billion) (see chart).

Mr Levy tried to live up to the nickname he had earned during an earlier stint as a treasury official—“Scissorhands”—with record-breaking cuts of 70 billion reais from discretionary spending. But Mansueto Almeida, a public-finance expert, points out that this work was more than countered by constitutionally mandated spending increases; government expenditure as a share of output rose in 2015. On top of that, a new scrupulousness in government accounting surely not unrelated to the impeachment proceedings has seen 57 billion reais in unpaid bills from years past newly recognised by the treasury.



Nor could Mr Levy easily fill the fiscal hole by raising taxes. Taxes already consume 36% of GDP, up from a quarter in 1991. And the recession has hit tax receipts hard. On December 18th, days after Fitch, a rating agency, followed the lead of Standard & Poor’s in downgrading Brazilian debt, Mr Levy threw in the towel. His job went to Nelson Barbosa, previously the planning minister, who insists he is committed to following the same policies. But before his elevation Mr Barbosa made no secret of favouring a more gradual fiscal adjustment—for example, a primary surplus of 0.5% of GDP in 2016, against Mr Levy’s preferred 0.7% (and an original promise of 2% a year ago). The real and the São Paulo stockmarket tumbled on news of his appointment.

Analysts at Barclays, a bank, expect debt to reach 93% of GDP by 2019; among big emerging markets only Ukraine and Hungary are more indebted. The figure may still seem on the safe side compared with 197% in Greece or 246% in Japan. But those are rich countries; Brazil is not. As a proportion of its wealth Brazil’s public debt is higher than that of Japan and nearly twice that of Greece.

Unable to increase taxes, Ms Rousseff’s government may prefer something even more troubling to investors and consumers alike: inflation. Faced with the inflationary pressure that has come with the devalued real, the Central Bank has held its nerve, increasing its benchmark rate by three percentage points since October 2014 and keeping it at 14.25% since July in the face of the recession. But despite this juicy rate the real continues to depreciate.

There is a worry that the bank may be unable to raise rates further for fear of making public debt unmanageable—what is known as “fiscal dominance”. This year the treasury spent around 7% of GDP servicing public debt. What is more, raising rates may have the perverse effect of stoking inflation rather than quenching it; an increasing risk of default as borrowing costs grow is likely to see investors dumping government bonds, provoking further currency depreciation.

A handful of economists, including Monica de Bolle of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, believe that Brazil is on the verge of fiscal dominance. And once interest rates no longer have a hold on inflation, she says, it can quickly spiral out of control. Forecasts by Credit Suisse warn that prices could be rising by 17% in 2017. Three-quarters of government spending remains linked to the price level, embedding past inflation in future prices. That said, the economy as a whole is much less indexed than it was in the hyperinflationary early 1990s. That leaves the government a bit more time, thinks Marcos Lisboa of Insper, a university in São Paulo. But not much more: perhaps a year or two.

Despite this pressing economic need for speed there seems to be no political capacity for it. Members of Congress are consumed by Ms Rousseff’s impeachment. By February they must decide whether to send her case to the Senate, which would require the votes of three-fifths of the 513 deputies in the lower house. To fend off such a decision Ms Rousseff is rallying her left-wing, anti-austerity base.

Gently doesn’t always do it
These efforts are meeting with some success: in December pro-government rallies drew more people than anti-government ones for the first time all year. It looks unlikely that the impeachment will indeed move to the Senate (which would trigger a further six months of turmoil). But this hardly provides a political climate conducive to belt-tightening, let alone to the amendment of the constitution which Mr Barbosa has said is needed to deal with the ratchet effect on benefits. Fiscal adjustment is anathema to the government workers and union members who are Ms Rousseff’s core supporters.

Like the country’s economic problems, its political ones, while specific to today’s particular scandals and manoeuvring, can be traced to the transition of the 1980s. History reveals a consistent tendency towards negotiated consensus at Brazil’s political watersheds; it can be seen in the war- and regicide-free independence declared in 1822, the military coup of 1964, which was mild compared with the blood-soaked affairs in Chile and Argentina, and the transition that created the new constitution. One aspect of this often admirable trait is a resistance to purging. The mid-1980s saw a lot of institutions—the federal police, the public prosecutor’s office, the judiciary, assorted regulators—overhauled or created afresh. But many of the old regime kept their jobs in the civil service and elsewhere. The transition was thus bound to be a generational affair.



So it is now proving, with a retiring old guard being replaced by fresh blood often educated abroad. In 2013 the average judge was 45 years old, meaning he entered university in a democratic Brazil. Civil servants are getting younger and better qualified, says Gleisson Rubin, who heads the National School of Public Administration. More than a quarter now boast a postgraduate degree, up from a tenth in 2002. Sérgio Moro, the crusading 43-year-old federal judge who oversees the Petrobras investigations, and Deltan Dallagnol, the case’s 35-year-old lead prosecutor, are the most famous faces of this new generation.

Unfortunately, this rejuvenation does not extend to the institution most in need of it: Congress. Its younger faces typically have family ties to the old guard. “Party politics is a market for lemons,” says Fernando Haddad, the fresh-faced PT mayor of São Paulo and a rare exception to the dynastic rule, nodding to George Akerlof’s classic analysis of adverse selection in the market for used cars: it attracts the venal and repels the honest. Consultants who have advised consecutive Congresses agree that each one is feebler than the last.

Brazilians have noticed the decline, and are transferring their hopes accordingly. “Judges and prosecutors are becoming more legitimate representatives of the Brazilian people than politicians,” says Norman Gall of the Braudel Institute, a think-tank in São Paulo. Everyone wants a selfie with Mr Moro and, disturbingly, nearly half of Brazilians think that military intervention is justified to combat corruption, according to a recent poll. Barely one in five trusts legislators; just 29% identify with a political party.

Monthly, oily, deeply
That last fact is perhaps particularly impressive given that they have so many parties to choose from. Keen to promote pluralism the constitution’s framers set no national cut-off below which a party’s votes would not count. It is possible to get into Congress with less than 1% of the vote: in principle, it could be done with 0.02%. As a result the number of parties has grown from a dozen in 1990 to 28 today. The three biggest—the PT, the PMDB and the opposition centre-right Party of Brazilian Social Democracy (PSDB)—together account for just 182 of 513 seats in the lower house and 42 out of 81 senators.

One of the causes of the mensalão scandal was corruption that provided Lula’s government with a way to get the votes it needed from the disparate small parties. The petrolão (“big oily”, as the Petrobras affair is widely known) apparently shared a similar aim. Such ruses may have helped PT governments pass some good laws, such as an extension of the successful Bolsa Família (family fund) cash-transfer programme. But the party was not able to do all that it had said it would; potentially helpful reforms in which it was less invested fell by the wayside. Raphael Di Cunto of Pinheiro Neto, a big law firm in São Paulo, points to many antiquated statutes in need of an update, such as the Mussolini-inspired labour code (from 1943) and laws governing foreign investments (1962) and capital markets (1974).



A Congress in which dysfunction feeds corruption which feeds further dysfunction is not one likely to take the hard decisions that the economy needs. But this is the Congress Brazil has: though there will be local elections in October 2016, congressional elections, like the next presidential poll, are not due until 2018. Can Brazil’s public finances hold out that long?

Many prominent economists think they just about can. They forecast a “muddling-through” in which Ms Rousseff holds on to her job, Congress passes a few modest spending cuts and tax rises, including a financial-transactions levy, the Central Bank continues to fight inflation, the cheap real boosts exports and investors don’t panic. After three years of this, the theory goes, an electorate fed up with stagnation and sleaze will give the PSDB a clear mandate for change. Ms Rousseff narrowly defeated the party’s candidate in 2014 by deriding his calls for prudence as heartless “neoliberalism”, only to propose a similar agenda (through gritted teeth) immediately after winning. If proposed by a PSDB in power that actually believed in them, such measures might receive cross-party support—though given the PSDB’s spiteful unwillingness to support Mr Levy’s measures in 2015 this would not be without irony.

Such a scenario is possible. Figures for the third quarter of 2015 show exports picking up. Price rises could slow down as steep increases in government-controlled prices for petrol and electricity put in place in 2015 run their course. Politicians and policymakers are keenly aware that Brazilians are less tolerant of inflation than in the 1980s and 1990s, when rates of 10% would have seemed mild.

Investors are staying put, at least in aggregate. Yield-hungry asset managers are taking the place of pension and mutual funds that left in anticipation of Brazil’s inevitable demotion to junk status. The real has fallen 31% since the start of 2015 and the stockmarket is down by 12.4%; but though battered they are not knocked flat. The banking system is well capitalised and, observers agree, diligently monitored by the Central Bank. The $250 billion in foreign-denominated debt racked up by Brazilian companies during the commodity-price-fuelled binge has ballooned in local-currency terms and remains a worry. But much of it is hedged through the firms’ own dollar revenues or with swaps—though settling some of those swaps has cost the government, which sold them, some 2% of GDP this year.



The sardonic Mr Lisboa observes with uncharacteristic optimism that “at last people are talking seriously about Brazil’s structural problems”. Fiscal dominance has left arcane discussions among economic theorists and burst onto newspaper columns. Mr Barbosa is openly discussing pension reform and the constitutional change that would have to go with it. In October the PMDB, which tends to lag behind public opinion more than to lead it, published a manifestothat talked about privatising state businesses and raising the retirement age. Even the famously stubborn Ms Rousseff has begun to listen rather than to hector, says a foreign economic dignitary who met her recently.

But the fact that muddling through may be possible does not mean it is assured. It hinges on the hope that politicians come to their senses more quickly than they have done in the past (witness the lost decade begun in the 1980s). It also assumes that Brazil’s penchant for consensus will hold its people back from social unrest on the sort of scale that topples regimes in other countries. The anti-government protests of 2015 were large, drawing up to a million people in a single day. But they were middle-class affairs which took place on sporadic Sundays, causing Ms Rousseff more annoyance than grief. As wages sag and unemployment rises, though, tempers could flare. If they do there will be every chance of a facile populist response that does even deeper economic damage.

Should Ms Rousseff be booted out—through impeachment, annulment of the election or coerced resignation (none of which looks likely just now)—chaos would surely ensue. Her core supporters may be less numerous than they once were, but she has many more than Mr Collor had in 1992. They would close ranks against the “coup-mongers”.

The strength of Brazil’s institutions suggests something shy of the failed populist experiments of some South American neighbours. And the fact that voters in Argentina and Venezuela rebuffed that populism in the past few months has not escaped the notice of Brazil’s politicians. But every month of dithering and every new petrolão revelation chips away at Brazil’s prospects. The 2010s are already certain to be another lost decade; GDP per person won’t rebound for years to come.

It will be a long time before a president can match the pride with which Lula showed off his Olympic trophy. But if Brazil’s politicians get their act together, the 2020s could be cheerier. Alas, if they do not, things will get a great deal worse.

http://www.economist.com/news/briefing/21684778-former-star-emerging-world-faces-lost-decade-irredeemable?fsrc=scn%2Ffb%2Fte%2Fpe%2Fed%2Fbrazilscrisis

Lacra 13, mas lacra com vontade!
"— A democracia em uma sociedade livre exige que os governados saibam o que fazem os governantes, mesmo quando estes buscam agir protegidos pelas sombras." Sérgio Moro

Offline Fabrício

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #288 Online: 30 de Dezembro de 2015, 17:32:00 »
Maldito IGP!
"Deus prefere os ateus"

Offline Lorentz

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #289 Online: 01 de Janeiro de 2016, 21:23:51 »
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Dilma aumenta imposto sobre vinho, cachaça e smartphone

A presidente Dilma Rousseff sancionou a Medida Provisória 690, que dispõe sobre a incidência do Imposto sobre Produtos Industrializados (IPI) sobre bebidas quentes, como vinho e destilados, como a cachaça. Convertida agora na Lei 13.241, publicada em edição extra do Diário Oficial da União que circula nesta sexta-feira, a MP foi sancionada com sete vetos.

A proposta aprovada pelo Congresso aumenta a tributação sobre essas bebidas quentes e acaba com a isenção do PIS/Pasep e da Cofins concedida a produtos eletrônicos, aumentando também a tributação a computadores, smartphones, roteadores e tablets.

Pela lei, o IPI incidente sobre as bebidas quentes passará a ser calculado com uma alíquota sobre o valor do produto (é a chamada alíquota ad valorem). Até então, o IPI era um valor fixo por determinada quantidade produzida (alíquota ad rem).

Na prática, será cobrado um valor porcentual sobre o valor do produto na saída da indústria. As alíquotas vão variar de 10% a 30%, dependendo do tipo de bebida. Os porcentuais foram definidos por decreto já editado pelo governo. No caso da industrialização por encomenda, quando uma empresa produz a bebida para outra, o IPI será cobrado tanto na saída da empresa que produziu como na da que encomendou.

No caso dos produtos de informática, a lei revoga legislação anterior que isenta os produtos de informática do pagamento da contribuição do PIS/Pasep e da Cofins nas vendas do varejo. O estímulo integrava o Programa de Inclusão Digital, criado para ampliar a produção nacional de equipamentos de informática em 2005.

Imóveis - A presidente também sancionou, com vetos, a Lei 13.240, que dispõe sobre a administração, a alienação, a transferência de gestão de imóveis da União e seu uso para a constituição de fundos. A lei teve origem na Medida Provisória 691 e autoriza a União a vender parte de seus imóveis, inclusive os terrenos de marinha nas quais tem domínio pleno, e destinar os recursos ao Programa de Administração Patrimonial da União (Proap).

Segundo o texto da Lei, não poderão ser vendidos os imóveis administrados pelo Ministério das Relações Exteriores, pelo Ministério da Defesa e pelos comandos da Marinha, do Exército ou da Aeronáutica. Também não poderão ser vendidos imóveis situados na faixa de fronteira (150 quilômetros).
"Amy, technology isn't intrinsically good or bad. It's all in how you use it, like the death ray." - Professor Hubert J. Farnsworth

Offline Lorentz

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #290 Online: 01 de Janeiro de 2016, 21:24:50 »
#pobrenaobebecachaca #pobrenaousacelular

OH WAIT!!!
"Amy, technology isn't intrinsically good or bad. It's all in how you use it, like the death ray." - Professor Hubert J. Farnsworth

Offline Arcanjo Lúcifer

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #291 Online: 02 de Janeiro de 2016, 08:00:56 »
Agora vai.

Legal é isso aqui:

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Na prática, será cobrado um valor porcentual sobre o valor do produto na saída da indústria. As alíquotas vão variar de 10% a 30%, dependendo do tipo de bebida. Os porcentuais foram definidos por decreto já editado pelo governo. No caso da industrialização por encomenda, quando uma empresa produz a bebida para outra, o IPI será cobrado tanto na saída da empresa que produziu como na da que encomendou.

Mas o que importa é que os pobres agora podem beber água de torneira. :lol:



Offline Fabrício

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #292 Online: 02 de Janeiro de 2016, 08:15:11 »
Então a Dilma aumentou o imposto sobre a cachaça? Ué, ela não era apenas um poste, incapaz de desagradar o Lula? E agora, coxinhas?
"Deus prefere os ateus"

Offline Geotecton

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #293 Online: 02 de Janeiro de 2016, 10:15:57 »
Então a Dilma aumentou o imposto sobre a cachaça? Ué, ela não era apenas um poste, incapaz de desagradar o Lula? E agora, coxinhas?

A que o 'molusco' bebe é gratuita.
Foto USGS

Offline Buckaroo Banzai

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #294 Online: 02 de Janeiro de 2016, 17:23:32 »
Dos impostos dos países nórdicos ninguém está reclamando. Mas como o complexo de vira-latas é algo incurável mesmo, a medida por aqui sempre acaba em choradeira.

Offline DDV

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #295 Online: 03 de Janeiro de 2016, 11:54:43 »
O PT vai transformar o Brasil numa Suécia. Isso aí é o começo.

Chorem neoliberais!
Não acredite em quem lhe disser que a verdade não existe.

"O maior vício do capitalismo é a distribuição desigual das benesses. A maior virtude do socialismo é a distribuição igual da miséria." (W. Churchill)

Offline Lorentz

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #296 Online: 03 de Janeiro de 2016, 17:04:51 »
O PT vai transformar o Brasil numa Suécia. Isso aí é o começo.

Como já falei antes, no nível da sacanagem estamos no páreo!
"Amy, technology isn't intrinsically good or bad. It's all in how you use it, like the death ray." - Professor Hubert J. Farnsworth

Offline Lorentz

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #297 Online: 04 de Janeiro de 2016, 19:26:59 »
http://www.oantagonista.com/posts/o-apagao-vem-ai

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O apagão vem aí

Brasil 04.01.16 12:41
A coluna Painel informa que estão atrasados 62% dos 363 empreendimentos para expansão da rede elétrica no País. Mas o problema não é só na transmissão.

Fiscais da Aneel projetam provável "restrição de geração no período de novembro de 2016 a julho de 2017".
"Amy, technology isn't intrinsically good or bad. It's all in how you use it, like the death ray." - Professor Hubert J. Farnsworth

Offline Gabarito

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #298 Online: 05 de Janeiro de 2016, 16:16:50 »
Vamos quebrar mais alguns recordes.
Que o mundo todo assista esse espetáculo do crescimento.
 :brasil:

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Brasil caminha para sua PIOR RECESSÃO desde 1901.

Isso sim que é retrocesso de verdade. E isso só acontece por conta da política econômica anti-liberdade do PT, apoiada por todos os socialistas e comunistas.

Retrocesso é impedir cada indivíduo de se relacionar livremente, delegando a ação humana para as mãos do governo; retrocesso é negar a livre cooperação social em nome de um "bem maior" que não existe. Bem maior é dar poderes aos cidadãos, e não a meia dúzia de burocratas em Brasília.

Não deixe que a volta ao passado tome esse país. Lute por um Brasil livre.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-04/brazil-analysts-ring-in-new-year-with-deeper-recession-forecast



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Brazil Heads for Worst Recession Since 1901, Economists Forecast
David Biller
DLBiller
January 4, 2016 — 6:12 AM EST
Updated on January 4, 2016 — 8:08 AM EST

Brazil’s economy will contract more than previously forecast and is heading for the deepest recession since at least 1901 as economic activity and confidence sink amid a political crisis, a survey of analysts showed.

Latin America’s largest economy will shrink 2.95 percent this year, according to the weekly central bank poll of about 100 economists, versus a prior estimate of a 2.81 percent contraction. Analysts lowered their 2016 growth forecast for 13 straight weeks and estimate the economy contracted 3.71 percent last year.

Brazil’s policy makers are struggling to control the fastest inflation in 12 years without further hamstringing a weak economy. Finance Minister Nelson Barbosa, who took the job in December, has faced renewed pressure to moderate austerity proposals aimed at bolstering public accounts and avoiding further credit downgrades. Impeachment proceedings and an expanding corruption scandal have also been hindering approval of economic policies in Congress.



“We’re now taking into account a very depressed scenario,” Flavio Serrano, senior economist at Haitong in Sao Paulo, said by phone.

Central bank director Altamir Lopes said on Dec. 23 the institution will adopt necessary policies to bring inflation to its 4.5 percent target in 2017. Less than a week later, the head of President Dilma Rousseff’s Workers’ Party, Rui Falcao, said Brazil should refrain from cutting investments and consider raising its inflation target to avoid higher borrowing costs.

Consumer confidence as measured by the Getulio Vargas Foundation in December reached a record low. Business confidence as measured by the National Industry Confederation fell throughout most of last year, rebounding slightly from a record low in October.

The last time Brazil had back-to-back years of recession was 1930 and 1931, and has never had one as deep as that forecast for 2015 and 2016 combined, according to data from national economic research institute IPEA that dates back to 1901.

E agora, coxinhas?
Quero ver vocês superarem esses números!

Offline Buckaroo Banzai

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Re:Crises Econômica e Política - O rastro e o rombo que Dilma vai fazendo
« Resposta #299 Online: 05 de Janeiro de 2016, 16:21:13 »
É este o nivel de inescrupulosidade do PiGGlobal quando percebe que não era só fachada fazer um governo economicamente sustentável, que também desse dignidade ao povo pobre, e o levasse à ascenção. "Temos que acabar com isso. Esses socialistas tem que aprender que o lugar do povo pobre é sofrendo na miséria, e não em vôos internacionais."

 

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